S&P Slashes Ratings Of Wall Street Banks

June 5, 2008 by Page Perry, LLC

As reported by Christine Harper on Bloomberg.com and Kathy Shwiff at The Wall Street Journal on June 2, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) cut credit ratings for three investment banks, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley. As a result, the firms say that they may have to book more write-downs on devalued assets.

Morgan Stanley, which is the second largest U.S. securities firm by market value, experienced a credit rating cut to A+ from AA-. Merrill Lynch, the third-biggest firm, was cut to A from A+, as was the nation’s fourth-biggest securities firm, Lehman Brothers. The credit rating of Goldman Sachs, the largest U.S. securities firm by market value, was stated at AA-.

S&P says that the “outlooks on the large financial institutions sector in the U.S. are now predominantly negative.” To date, the firms have raised about $270 billion of new capital. This capital, however, is considered to be of lower quality because much of it is comprised of hybrid securities, exceeding the S&P limits on the amount of hybrids permitted in the capital structure.

A statement released by S&P analyst Tanya Azarchs said that S&P’s actions reflect “prospects of continued weakness in the investment banking business and the potential for more write-offs, though not of the magnitude of those of the past few quarters.”

S&P also revised its outlook on Bank of America and J.P. Morgan Chase to negative. Citigroup was taken off review for a downgrade and given a negative outlook while Wachovia was placed on review for a downgrade. At Wachovia, shares fell to their lowest level since July 1995 after the bank ousted its CEO Ken Thompson.

S&P expects sharp deterioration in residential mortgage loan portfolios as well as residential construction. The loss rates for these loans are “poised to exceed historical levels by a wide margin” and may thereby lead to additional credit ratings cuts especially if bottom line losses or prolonged periods of low/volatile earnings continue.