May 15, 2008

Fixing Wall Street?

In the face of the myriad of problems affecting the financial world, Wall Street is embarking on a bold, and for it a mostly unprecedented, tactic. It is telling the truth.

According to Andrew Ross Sorkin in his Dealbook column in the May 13th edition of The New York Times, Kevin C. Griffin, the founder of the Citadel Investment Group, a twenty million dollar hedge fund, has put it rather bluntly: “We, as an industry, dropped the ball.” Mr. Griffin’s analysis is scathing: The investment banks gambled away money and jobs during the late great credit boom. The same bosses let the young, gung-ho traders take on too much risk and now we are all paying the price. In Mr. Griffin’s view, however, the answer is simple. The entire financial industry needs to change its attitude and perhaps accept greater regulation.

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May 13, 2008

Mortgage Crisis Hits Prime Loans

Although the figures remain relatively small, mortgage delinquencies have now spread beyond subprime borrowers to prime borrowers, according to a front-page article in the May 9 -11 edition of USA Today.

According to data from FirstAmerican CoreLogic LoanPerformance, approximately 2.3 percent of prime loans were 60 days past due in February, up from 1.4 percent a year ago. The foreclosure rate for prime borrowers is also up. Mortgage Bankers Association says that the rate of foreclosure filings for prime ARMS (adjustable-rate mortgages) rose from 0.41 percent to 1.06 percent. Prime ARMS constitute 15% of loans outstanding and 20% of foreclosure filings.

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May 13, 2008

With 50,000 Layoffs So Far This Year, Wall Street Employees Must Protect Themselves

Wall Street continues to shed jobs at breakneck speed, and financial firm employees cannot help but wonder how many heads will ultimately roll. The number of announced layoffs increases weekly. According to an article in The Wall Street Journal on May 10, more than 23,000 financial job cuts were announced in April. That brings the total announced job cuts for the first four months of 2008 to 49,825 –- nearly as many as the job cuts announced in all of 2007.

Lehman Brothers is expected to announce this week that it is eliminating about 5% of its workforce – or 1,425 jobs – on top of a previously announced 5% job cut. By the end of June, Morgan Stanley plans to cut 1,500 more jobs to bring its total layoffs to 4,500 or about 10% of its workforce. UBS announced last week that it will cut 5,500 jobs, including 2,600 investment bankers. Finally, no one knows how many Bear Stearns employees will be laid off once JPMorgan Chase acquires that firm.

In this uncertain climate, employees on Wall Street need to protect themselves. Even if your firm has a reputation of protecting its own, once you are targeted for layoff you are no longer within that circle of protection.

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May 12, 2008

UBS Will Pay $35 Million To Redeem Auction-Rate Securities Sold To Massachusetts' Cities

UBS AG will pay approximately $35 million to approximately 20 Massachusetts towns and cities that invested in the auction rate securities market. As reported by Forbes.com, the Swiss banking giant confirmed that it has entered into an agreement with the State of Massachusetts to return the amount of the investments. Massachusetts had been investigating UBS for misleading towns, cities, and other municipal entities by representing that auction rate securities were permissible investments under state law. That investigation began in February 2008.

The 20 or so municipalities that will be receiving the $35 million back from UBS invested from their general fund, which is regulated by a state municipal finance law that strictly prescribes what kind of investments can be made. According to Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley, UBS misled the municipalities by representing that the securities were permissible investments under state law when in fact they were not.

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May 12, 2008

Jim Rogers Contradicts Wall Street -- The Worst Is Yet To Come

Jim Rogers, a co-founder with George Soros of the Quantum Fund, has contradicted his old partner and most Wall Street firms with his prediction that the global credit squeeze caused by US housing loan delinquencies is not nearing its end. According to Bei Hu writing on Bloomberg.com on May 8, Rogers, the chair of Rogers Holdings, said at a press conference in Singapore, “I doubt that we’re half way through the financial crisis. We certainly haven't hit the bottom as far as I'm concerned.”

“Most of the European banks and Asian banks haven't taken a huge write-off yet,” Rogers commented. “I suspect there are more write-offs to come in Europe and Asia,” he advised.

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May 12, 2008

Wachovia Receives Auction-Rate Securities Subpoenas

Wachovia has announced that its securities unit has received subpoenas from the SEC and various state regulators regarding its auction-rate securities practices.

In April, the SEC requested auction-rate securities information from various brokerage firms after many of the auction-rate markets froze, denying investors access to their funds. Recently, state securities regulators have also began focusing on the auction-rate problem and are coordinating their efforts to help investors “who can’t access funds that their brokers placed in these complex investment products,” according to an article by Kevin Kingsbury in The Wall Street Journal. North Dakota Securities Commissioner Karen Tyler, the president of the North American Securities Administrators Association, said “If violations are uncovered, then state securities regulators will seek appropriate remedies, including a much stronger commitment from Wall Street to provide their retail clients with an acceptable solution.”

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May 11, 2008

More Subprime And Alt-A Mortgages Heading Underwater

According to Jody Shenn of Bloomberg.com, Barclays Capital has reported that about half of subprime and Alt-A borrowers will soon either have little equity in their homes or will actually owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. This will put an additional $800 million of debt at greater risk of default.

New York-based analysts Ajay Rajadhyaksha and Derek Chen wrote, “Mortgage loans are moving underwater at a very sharp pace, far more than suggested by aggregate home price data.”

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May 9, 2008

Internationally Famous Economist Disputes Wall Street's Claim That "The Worst Is Over"

In an April 25 interview with CNBC, Nobel Prize Laureate Professor Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University provided a bleak long-term outlook for the U.S. economy. "This is going to be one of the worst economic downturns since the Great Depression," Stiglitz advised. Stiglitz’s analysis is directly contrary to recent claims of Wall Street executives who contend that the worst is behind us. Of course, many Wall Street executives made similar claims last October when the firms recognized billions of dollars in losses.

According to Stiglitz, the primary cause of the recession is historically unique and thus perplexing those responsible for finding solutions. Previous recessions were caused either by excessive inventories or inflation. This downturn is caused by "badly impaired" banks and financial entities that will or cannot lend capital. Even borrowers who usually drive the country back to vitality remain uncertain as to what to do.

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May 8, 2008

Morgan Stanley To Lay Off Five Percent of Work Force

According to a published report in Bloomberg.com, Morgan Stanley plans to lay off up to five percent of its work force during the remainder of 2008. These layoffs were driven by Morgan Stanley's recently announced quarterly losses, which were the first in its history as of a publicly-traded company. Morgan Stanley posted a $3.6 billion loss in the quarter ending March 31, 2008. The firm has already laid off 3,000 workers since October 2006.

Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack predicted in April that the credit crisis caused by the subprime mortgage and real estate market collapse would last "a couple of quarters" longer and that it was going to be "a difficult year for the Street."

May 8, 2008

Ex-Bear Stearns Broker Sentenced For Insider Trading

As reported by Reuters, Ken Okada, a former stockbroker with Bear Stearns, was sentenced on Tuesday to three years probation, a year of home confinement, and fined $300,000 for his role in an insider-trading scheme.

Okada was one of 13 people charged in 2007 in what authorities have called the most pervasive insider trading rings since the 1980s.

Okada used information from UBS AG research reports, before the reports were made public, to execute hundreds of trades totaling $17.5 million.

May 7, 2008

UBS Will Cut 5500 More Jobs

After experiencing $17.3 billion in losses in the first quarter from its investment-banking unit, UBS announced on May 6 that it plans to cut 5,500 jobs, approximately half of which will come from its securities division. According to a report on Bloomberg.com, UBS said that its clients withdrew 12.2 billion dollars in assets more than they deposited in UBS's wealth management and asset management divisions during the most recent quarter. The most recent UBS job cuts are on top of approximately 48,000 other layoffs announced by the world's biggest banks and securities firms in the past year, mostly resulting from write downs and losses from the US subprime crisis.

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May 7, 2008

Foreclosures Rising And Home Prices Falling At Unprecedented Rates

According to a story by Stephanie Armour in USA Today on April 29, the most severe real estate recession in decades is far from over – the pace of foreclosures is rising, the fall of home prices is accelerating, and the pain is spreading to almost every major city.

The Standard & Poor's/Case Shiller home composite index of 20 cities fell by 12.7 percent in February compared with last year. This was the largest decline since the index was created in 2001. Nearly every major U.S. city was affected; all but one of the 20 cities – Charlotte – saw price declines. In fact, seventeen of those 20 metropolitan areas reported record annual declines. David Blitzer, the chair of the index committee at S&P, said. “There is no sign of a bottom in the numbers.”

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