Many commentators have noted recently that the Wall Street meltdown of 2007-2008 was not a “black swan” – that is, an unprecedented and therefore unpredictable occurrence. Named for an influential 2007 book titled The Black Swan by investment fund manager Nassim Nicholas Talib, the black swan was used as a metaphor to explain why humans rely too much on the past to predict future events, and it has since been used as a defense by Wall Street to justify its inability to predict the 2008 crash. Talib himself maintains that the 2008 crisis was not a black swan event because, unlike the avian rarity of nature, it was predictable. The crisis was not only predictable, but it was actually predicted by many analysts whose voices were either ignored by the firms that employed them, or drowned out by the exuberant hype of brokers pushing the firms’ latest financial products without regard for their soundness.
Continue reading "The 2007-2008 Financial Crisis was not a 'Black Swan' Event" »
Posted In:
Asset Backed Securities
,
Brokerage Firms
,
CDOs
,
Common Securities Broker Abuses
,
Credit Default Swaps
,
Derivatives
,
Hedge Funds
,
Investigations
,
Investment Advisers
,
Investment Malpractice
,
Investor Alerts
,
Investor Rights
,
Mortgage Backed Securities
,
Mortgage Securities & Collateralized Debt Obligation Problems
,
Securities
,
Securities/Commodities Arbitration
,
Securities/Commodities Litigation
,
Smart Investing Tools